Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions (2024)

Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions (1)

Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions (2)

Kevin Erickson

June 28, 2024 5:42 am ET

The Texas Rangers (37-44) and Baltimore Orioles (51-30) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0

The Rangers dropped their 4th consecutive game Thursday in the series opener, losing 11-2. Texas has struggled offensively, totaling just 11 runs in the 4-game skid, or just 2.8 runs per game (RPG). The Over has cashed in 3 of the 4 games, however, with the pitching staff allowing 6 or more runs in 3 of those 4 outings.

The Orioles have re-discovered their offense after a 3-game span with 4 total runs last Saturday to Monday. They have plated 23 runs in the past 3 outings, averaging 7.7 RPG, cashing the Over in 2 of those 3 games. The Over is 8-4-1 in the previous 13 games for the O’s.

Rangers at Orioles projected starters

RHP Max Scherzervs. RHP Albert Suarez

Scherzer (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.20 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 5 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-0 home victory vs. Kansas City Royals Sunday
  • 2023 road splits: 8-4, 4.31 ERA (85 2/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.17 WHIP, .238 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 21 HR, 22 BB, 95 K in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles (regular season): 7-2, 3.17 ERA (96 2/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 17 HR, 11.5 K/9 in 14 starts

Suarez (3-2, 2.70 ERA) makes his 10th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 53 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 10 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 3 K in 8-1 loss at Houston Astros Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-0, 1.88 ERA (24 IP, 5 ER), 1.13 WHIP, .228 OBA, 1 HR, 6 BB, 22 K in 4 starts and 3 relief appearances
  • Never faced Rangers before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks.Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rangers at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-185) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Rangers at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 3, Orioles 2

Moneyline

The RANGERS (+110) are a solid value as short ‘dogs on the road behind Scherzer as he was untouchable in his debut last time out after recovering from a herniated disc in his lower back.

It isn’t going to be easy as Suarez has had strong numbers at home, and in general. The O’s are 1-3 in his past 4 starts, but he has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of his last 6 outings. It’s a lack of run support, and that isn’t likely to improve against a pitcher the caliber of Scherzer.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers +1.5 (-185) will cost nearly 2 times the potential return, which is way too much risk if you’d like a little bit of insurance.

AVOID and just take the Rangers straight up if you like them to win outright.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the best play on the board.

Scherzer was nearly untouchable in his season debut Sunday, while Suarez has been producing solid numbers. The Under is 4-1-1 in Suarez’s last 6 starts. Plus, the Under is 5-4-2 in the past 11 outings for the O’s at home.

For the Rangers, the Under is 4-3-1 in the past 8 outings, while going 7-5 in the past 12 games on the road.

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Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions (2024)
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